AI In My View, 7/23/23
This Sunday, letās focus on two consecutive weekend op-ed pieces by geopolitical commentator Fareed Zakaria, which revolve around TikTok. The globally recognized entertainment app, TikTok, has garnered global attention with its AI-driven āFor Youā algorithm, captivating hundreds of millions across demographics. Now emulated by tech companies large and small.
Fareedās first op-ed on April 7, 2023, titled āWhy banning TikTok wonāt do any goodā. He followed a week later on April 14 with āTikTok is dangerously addictive. We should regulate it now.ā
Both are worth reading, but let me summarize why Iām highlighting them together as bookends now.Ā
The first piece makes the case that the current unusual bipartisan zeal to bash and potentially ban TikTok for its parentage may not be productive.Ā Itās owned by Chinese mega tech Bytedance, and thereās concerns around potential Chinese government influence and control.Ā Specifically, I agree with how he ends the piece:
āFor years, we mistakenly believed that as China opened up economically it would become more like us. But look at where we are today.ā
āWeāve embarked on central economic planning with massive subsidies to industry, and now weāre proposing draconian restrictions on the free flow of information. It seems like we are slowly becoming more like them.ā
I view the case against China as politically overwrought. And likely distracting given that our mega tech and telecommunications companies, are doing many of the same things in a deeper way (sans of course the Chinese Communist party influence).Ā
I also believe that the general US China tensions are politically over wound. And itās likely in our best interests to be long term focused in figuring out how we can achieve our global growth objectives with China, than without. Thread the needle as it were.Ā
I know itās not the popular consensus, but I am convinced that the Math ultimately doesnāt work without China for us. Iāll have more on this subject in future posts.Ā
For now I want to focus on Fareedās second piece above. Specifically, his view:
āLast week, I argued against banning TikTok. In talking to people about the platform, I came to see that the real concern most had was not about TikTokās Chinese ownership, but rather just how scarily addictive it ā and much of social media ā is. Thatās true and deeply worrying, and we should do something about it ā and soon.ā
The emphasis beyond TikTok, and on āmuch of social mediaā, is appropriate.Ā
TikTok is just the tip of the AI/ML iceberg,Ā applied to consumer apps at scale. As Iāve outlined in earlier posts, I view TikTok as the best example at scale to date, of the power of machine learning and AI algorithms (not to mention cleverly licensed universally loved music), applied to consumer-facing applications to date.Ā
And weāre in early days of AI. Before being turbocharged soon by LLM AI versions much more powerful. And of course itās beyond TikTok, because companies large and small are rushing down the same path.Ā
Meta, OpenAI/Microsoft, Google, eventually Apple, and many āAI Nativeā startups are also leading the charge. My recent posts have gone into these details.Ā
Fareedās core points on TikTok apply to AI being developed by many other companies at large. TikTok is just one of the first to wield it effectively at scale, eventually for net good.Ā
Taking a step back, most technologies are double edge swords. There are perennial ways to use them for both bad and good. This has been true since Prometheus and Fire.
The key always lies in how society manages and navigates the complexities introduced by new technology, using it responsibly for the greater good. It takes time. And a LOT of trial and error.Ā
And it all needs to do be done as individuals, as companies, as governments. Whether itās for personal pleasure or profit, corporate pursuit of invisible hand driven growth , or government use of the technology for politics, national security, sovereign, and societal good.
AI is not intrinsically a malevolent thing despite our worst fictional fables. Itās but a tool, and the only way it ultimately does any good, is if itās used by the three constituents above for net good over time. And then they all continue that net good, across national boundaries.Ā
Thatās how we figured out how to use air travel to help connect the world as the safest and fastest technology for net good. And shipping containers in the 1950s, and ships to enable globalization and do net good across the world for countries both rich and poor.Ā
And in the process lift more people out of abject poverty than any time in history. Looking at you of course China, for getting that right.Ā
Insanely hard working and competing Chinese people drove that at scale. Others preceded at a lesser scale, and many are fast following.Ā
And of course similar examples abound in healthcare, energy, manufacturing and almost every industry that has wielded technology for net global good.Ā
AI has the promise to augment all of us individually, organizationally, and globally. It only happens with a lean-in attitude into that opportunity, and being clear-eyed on the fears and risks. And it certainly is not going to happen in a straight line.Ā
Technologies like radio, TV (broadcast and cable), PCs, the Internet, and now AI, oscillate human existence between Aldous Huxleyās āBrave New Worldā, and George Orwell's '1984ā. This was brilliantly summarized by Neil Postmanās āAmusing ourself to Deathā. Technology driven blissful entertainment, progress, and societal control, going hand in hand.Ā
Itās notable that the focus of all three of those seminal works is intrinsically about āAttentionā. Societyās attention and government control of attention, again going hand in hand.Ā
So itās serendipitously appropriate that this phase of the AI Tech wave was kicked off by an AI paper on Attention. Am referring of course, to the seminal 1917 Google AI paper āAttention is all you needā. It taught us how to transform computers from deterministic code to probabilistic code processors at unimaginable scale.
We use these AI āTransformerā algorithms, to calculate massively around every speck of human generated digital Data, using Attention driven weights, tokens, contexts, and reinforcement learning loops. And the technologies are barely getting started.Ā
But we ultimately have the power to figure out how to use AI for the right things (aka āthe goodā), after trying everything else (lot of āthe badā). Net Good. Just like America. Stay tuned.Ā
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Finally, on a separate note, the fact that this post starts out inspired by two Fareed Zakaria weekend pieces, is not a coincidence.Ā
Iāve been a long time fan of Fareedās āHereās My Takeā segments on his GPS CNN TV show, and his Washington Post op-eds.
So this post titled āAI In My Viewā, is in the same vein. An opportunity to talk about AI from the broader vantage point in terms of societal net good.Ā
Above the daily AI din and details during the week, on whoās up and whoās down. Am planning on doing these on Sundays. Hopefully these will be entertaining and useful. Thanks for reading this far.Ā
Thank you!
This is a great piece Michael.